Paraguay vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1991 |
BOL
0 - 1
PAR
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1991 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAR
78%
16%
6%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
ECU
3 - 1
PAR
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
COL
2 - 1
PAR
42%
29%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1991 |
ECU
2 - 2
PER
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1991 |
URU
0 - 0
PER
70%
20%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1991 |
PER
1 - 0
URU
29%
31%
40%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1991 |
PER
0 - 1
ECU
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
URU
2 - 0
PER
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |