Paraguay vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
BRA
4 - 1
PAR
85%
9%
6%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
ARG
3 - 1
PAR
80%
12%
8%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1959 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
75%
14%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
PAR
5 - 0
BOL
79%
12%
9%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1959 |
PAR
2 - 1
CHI
71%
16%
14%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
PER
0 - 0
BOL
86%
9%
6%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1959 |
CHI
1 - 1
PER
63%
19%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1959 |
ARG
3 - 1
PER
80%
12%
8%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1959 |
PER
5 - 3
URU
58%
19%
23%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1959 |
BRA
2 - 2
PER
85%
10%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |