Paraguay vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1956 |
ARG
1 - 0
PAR
87%
9%
5%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
86%
9%
5%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1956 |
URU
4 - 2
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1955 |
BRA
3 - 3
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
78%
13%
10%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1956 |
BRA
2 - 1
PER
84%
10%
6%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1956 |
URU
2 - 0
PER
75%
14%
11%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
86%
9%
5%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1955 |
PER
2 - 1
URU
56%
19%
25%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1955 |
PER
1 - 1
PAR
73%
14%
12%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |