Paraguay vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
25%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
1 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
3 - 0
COL
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
4 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
9%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
59%
19%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
2 - 0
COL
56%
20%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
PER
4 - 0
COL
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1947 |
BOL
0 - 2
PER
32%
22%
45%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1947 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
62%
19%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1947 |
PER
5 - 1
COL
60%
19%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PER
0 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
8%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |