Paraguay vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
4 - 3
PAR
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
69%
17%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
PER
3 - 0
PAR
63%
19%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
PAR
5 - 1
CHI
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1941 |
URU
2 - 0
PER
62%
19%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
PER
4 - 0
ECU
72%
15%
13%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1941 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
CHI
1 - 0
PER
43%
22%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1941 |
PER
0 - 3
ARG
40%
23%
38%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |