Paraguay vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1929 |
ARG
4 - 1
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1929 |
URU
0 - 3
PAR
72%
16%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1928 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
32%
24%
45%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1928 |
PAR
3 - 1
URU
30%
24%
46%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1926 |
CHI
5 - 1
PAR
41%
24%
34%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1929 |
PER
1 - 4
URU
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1929 |
ARG
3 - 0
PER
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1927 |
ARG
5 - 1
PER
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1927 |
PER
3 - 2
BOL
65%
18%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1927 |
URU
4 - 0
PER
65%
19%
16%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |