Paraguay vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
4.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
SVK
0 - 2
PAR
36%
26%
38%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 1
PAR
74%
18%
8%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
GRC
0 - 2
PAR
53%
26%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 2
CIV
56%
25%
20%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2010 |
IRL
2 - 1
PAR
53%
27%
20%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 1
NZL
89%
9%
2%
|
70 | 96 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2010 |
NZL
1 - 1
SVK
15%
22%
63%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
SVN
3 - 1
NZL
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
NZL
1 - 0
SRB
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
AUS
2 - 1
NZL
66%
22%
13%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |