Paraguay vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2001 |
PER
3 - 3
PAR
25%
24%
51%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2001 |
JPN
2 - 0
PAR
43%
26%
32%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2001 |
PAR
2 - 0
YUG
28%
25%
47%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
23%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2001 |
ECU
2 - 1
PAR
35%
27%
38%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2001 |
BRA
0 - 1
MEX
90%
7%
3%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2001 |
MEX
1 - 0
USA
54%
24%
22%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
HND
3 - 1
MEX
37%
27%
36%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
MEX
1 - 2
CRC
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
FRA
4 - 0
MEX
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 100 | 10 | 0 |