Paraguay vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
33.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1999 |
PAR
0 - 2
COL
47%
28%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
JAM
3 - 0
PAR
22%
28%
50%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
BOL
0 - 3
PAR
36%
28%
37%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1999 |
PAR
3 - 1
JAM
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1999 |
GTM
2 - 3
PAR
29%
28%
43%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
MEX
0 - 0
ECU
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
USA
1 - 2
MEX
40%
27%
33%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1999 |
MEX
2 - 1
BOL
72%
18%
11%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1999 |
MEX
3 - 0
EGY
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1999 |
HKG
0 - 0
MEX
16%
26%
59%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |