Paraguay vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
KSA
0 - 0
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
BHR
1 - 2
PAR
6%
18%
76%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
QAT
0 - 3
PAR
12%
21%
67%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1986 |
QAT
1 - 1
PAR
12%
21%
67%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
IDN
2 - 3
PAR
15%
23%
61%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
OMA
2 - 3
IRQ
12%
20%
68%
|
83 | 39 | 44 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1986 |
IRQ
1 - 2
KWT
63%
22%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
IRQ
1 - 2
KSA
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1986 |
QAT
1 - 1
IRQ
7%
23%
70%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1986 |
UAE
2 - 2
IRQ
11%
25%
64%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |