Paraguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
URU
43%
27%
30%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
PER
0 - 0
PAR
40%
28%
32%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2007 |
COL
1 - 0
PAR
54%
26%
20%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
VEN
3 - 2
PAR
33%
28%
40%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 1
VEN
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2007 |
BRA
5 - 0
ECU
85%
12%
4%
|
87 | 99 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
ECU
0 - 1
VEN
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2007 |
HND
2 - 1
ECU
44%
28%
29%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ECU
5 - 1
SLV
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
ECU
1 - 0
BOL
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |