Paraguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
PAR
2 - 1
CHI
41%
29%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1996 |
CHN
0 - 2
PAR
35%
28%
38%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1996 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOL
57%
25%
18%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1996 |
PAR
1 - 2
ARM
82%
13%
5%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
ECU
1 - 0
MEX
30%
28%
42%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
ECU
0 - 1
COL
35%
31%
34%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1996 |
ECU
2 - 1
JAM
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
ECU
1 - 0
VEN
83%
12%
6%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1996 |
ECU
1 - 1
CRC
51%
25%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |