Paraguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1995 |
NZL
2 - 3
PAR
33%
29%
38%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1995 |
CHI
0 - 1
PAR
59%
24%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1995 |
PAR
0 - 0
TUR
57%
25%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1995 |
ARG
2 - 1
PAR
66%
21%
12%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1995 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
63%
23%
14%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1995 |
ZAM
0 - 1
ECU
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1995 |
ECU
2 - 1
CRC
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
ZAM
1 - 4
ECU
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
JPN
3 - 0
ECU
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1995 |
ECU
1 - 2
SCO
30%
29%
40%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |