Paraguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1966 |
ECU
2 - 2
PAR
42%
22%
36%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
PAR
2 - 2
URU
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
MEX
7 - 0
PAR
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
BOL
2 - 1
PAR
38%
21%
42%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1966 |
ECU
2 - 2
PAR
42%
22%
36%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1965 |
CHI
2 - 1
ECU
77%
13%
10%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
CHI
3 - 1
ECU
77%
13%
10%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1965 |
ECU
2 - 2
CHI
30%
21%
49%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 1965 |
ECU
2 - 0
COL
54%
20%
27%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |