Paraguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
3 - 0
COL
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
4 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
9%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
59%
19%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
2 - 0
COL
56%
20%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
3 - 1
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
9 - 1
ECU
87%
8%
5%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
4 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
9%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
2 - 0
ECU
84%
11%
6%
|
53 | 89 | 36 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PER
0 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
8%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1947 |
URU
6 - 1
ECU
81%
12%
7%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | -1 |