Paraguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
59%
19%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
2 - 0
COL
56%
20%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
3 - 1
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
4 - 2
URU
35%
21%
44%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
PER
2 - 2
PAR
63%
18%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
2 - 0
ECU
84%
11%
6%
|
53 | 89 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PER
0 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
8%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1947 |
URU
6 - 1
ECU
81%
12%
7%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1947 |
ECU
0 - 3
CHI
37%
22%
41%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1947 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
9%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |