Paraguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1942 |
PAR
2 - 0
CHI
63%
19%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
47%
22%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
4 - 3
PAR
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
69%
17%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
12 - 0
ECU
77%
14%
9%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
URU
7 - 0
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
PER
4 - 0
ECU
72%
15%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ARG
6 - 1
ECU
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
URU
6 - 0
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |