Paraguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
69%
17%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
PER
3 - 0
PAR
63%
19%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
PAR
5 - 1
CHI
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
PAR
0 - 1
PER
56%
21%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
PAR
3 - 2
CHI
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
CHI
4 - 1
ECU
52%
21%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
URU
6 - 0
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
PER
5 - 2
ECU
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1938 |
BOL
2 - 1
ECU
51%
21%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1938 |
ECU
2 - 5
VEN
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |