Paraguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 0
PAR
32%
28%
41%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
MEX
0 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
AUT
0 - 0
PAR
45%
26%
29%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
COL
2 - 0
PAR
51%
26%
23%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MEX
2 - 1
PAR
61%
23%
17%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
COL
3 - 1
ECU
62%
23%
15%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
JPN
0 - 0
COL
44%
28%
28%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
MNE
0 - 1
COL
12%
23%
65%
|
92 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
PAN
0 - 4
COL
18%
28%
54%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
COL
2 - 0
PAR
51%
26%
23%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | +1 |