Paraguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
PER
0 - 1
PAR
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1985 |
PAR
0 - 0
CHI
48%
28%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1985 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAR
84%
12%
4%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
PAR
0 - 2
BRA
16%
26%
58%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1985 |
COL
2 - 0
VEN
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1985 |
VEN
2 - 2
COL
32%
25%
44%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
ARG
1 - 0
COL
79%
16%
6%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
PER
0 - 0
COL
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
COL
1 - 3
ARG
20%
28%
53%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |