Paraguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1970 |
PAR
1 - 0
VEN
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
6%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
PAR
0 - 3
BRA
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
COL
0 - 1
PAR
30%
21%
48%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1969 |
VEN
0 - 2
PAR
39%
22%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1969 |
BRA
6 - 2
COL
87%
9%
4%
|
59 | 91 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
COL
0 - 1
PAR
30%
21%
48%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1969 |
COL
0 - 2
BRA
18%
22%
60%
|
59 | 91 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1969 |
VEN
1 - 1
COL
67%
17%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1969 |
COL
3 - 0
VEN
48%
21%
31%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |