Paraguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 0
BRA
38%
23%
40%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
85%
10%
6%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 2
BRA
16%
20%
64%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1963 |
PAR
5 - 1
BOL
62%
18%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
PAR
3 - 0
BOL
60%
18%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
BOL
2 - 1
COL
70%
16%
14%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1963 |
BRA
5 - 1
COL
90%
7%
3%
|
61 | 91 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
ARG
4 - 2
COL
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1962 |
YUG
5 - 0
COL
92%
6%
3%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
SUN
4 - 4
COL
84%
10%
6%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |