Paraguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.5%
17.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1957 |
COL
1 - 2
PAR
38%
20%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1957 |
COL
2 - 3
PAR
40%
20%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1957 |
PAR
0 - 1
BOL
70%
15%
15%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1957 |
PAR
5 - 2
BOL
69%
15%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1956 |
PAR
0 - 1
ARG
31%
23%
46%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1957 |
URU
1 - 0
COL
79%
13%
8%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1957 |
COL
1 - 2
PAR
38%
20%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1957 |
COL
2 - 3
PAR
40%
20%
40%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
COL
1 - 1
URU
31%
21%
48%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1957 |
COL
4 - 1
ECU
87%
8%
5%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |