Paraguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
4 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
9%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
59%
19%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
2 - 0
COL
56%
20%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
3 - 1
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
4 - 2
URU
35%
21%
44%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
4 - 1
COL
59%
19%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1947 |
PER
5 - 1
COL
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
2 - 0
COL
56%
20%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
6 - 0
COL
78%
13%
9%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1947 |
COL
0 - 0
BOL
77%
13%
10%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |