Paraguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
24%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
3 - 1
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
4 - 2
URU
35%
21%
44%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
PER
2 - 2
PAR
63%
18%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
6 - 0
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1946 |
HND
10 - 0
PAR
50%
21%
29%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
6 - 0
COL
78%
13%
9%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1947 |
COL
0 - 0
BOL
77%
13%
10%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1947 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
9%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1947 |
URU
2 - 0
COL
64%
18%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1946 |
COL
2 - 1
PAN
66%
17%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |