Paraguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2001 |
ECU
2 - 1
PAR
35%
27%
38%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
URU
0 - 1
PAR
50%
25%
25%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
KOR
7 - 6
PAR
44%
27%
29%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
PAR
5 - 1
PER
64%
22%
14%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
COL
0 - 2
PAR
49%
26%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2001 |
CHI
0 - 1
URU
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
MEX
1 - 0
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2001 |
PER
3 - 1
CHI
37%
26%
37%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
HND
3 - 1
CHI
35%
27%
38%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
CHI
0 - 2
ARG
29%
26%
46%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | +1 |