Paraguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1996 |
CHN
0 - 2
PAR
35%
28%
38%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1996 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOL
57%
25%
18%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1996 |
PAR
1 - 2
ARM
82%
13%
5%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
URU
0 - 2
PAR
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
COL
4 - 1
CHI
52%
26%
22%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
CRC
1 - 1
CHI
29%
29%
42%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1996 |
CHI
4 - 1
ECU
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
VEN
1 - 1
CHI
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
CHI
2 - 0
BOL
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |