Paraguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
24.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1993 |
MEX
3 - 1
PAR
58%
25%
17%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1993 |
BOL
2 - 1
PAR
29%
30%
42%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 0
BOL
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1991 |
CHI
4 - 0
PAR
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 1991 |
ARG
4 - 1
PAR
62%
23%
15%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1993 |
BOL
1 - 3
CHI
29%
31%
41%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
1 - 2
CHI
37%
30%
34%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
COL
1 - 0
CHI
44%
29%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1993 |
CHI
1 - 1
COL
61%
25%
15%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1993 |
CHI
2 - 1
BOL
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |