Paraguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
18.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
URU
2 - 1
PAR
63%
18%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
3 - 1
PER
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
1 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
3 - 0
COL
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
4 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
9%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
CHI
1 - 1
COL
67%
17%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
CHI
1 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
78%
13%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 2
CHI
36%
22%
42%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
4 - 3
BOL
78%
13%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |