Paraguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
22.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
2 - 0
COL
56%
20%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
3 - 1
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
4 - 2
URU
35%
21%
44%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
PER
2 - 2
PAR
63%
18%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
6 - 0
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
1 - 1
CHI
79%
13%
8%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1947 |
ECU
0 - 3
CHI
37%
22%
41%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
2 - 1
PER
50%
21%
29%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
URU
6 - 0
CHI
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1946 |
CHI
4 - 1
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |