Paraguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
47%
22%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
4 - 3
PAR
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
69%
17%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
PER
3 - 0
PAR
63%
19%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1942 |
BRA
6 - 1
CHI
73%
15%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1942 |
URU
6 - 1
CHI
69%
17%
14%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1941 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
URU
2 - 0
CHI
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
CHI
1 - 0
PER
43%
22%
36%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |