Paraguay vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1998 |
BEL
1 - 0
PAR
61%
23%
17%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
ROU
3 - 2
PAR
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1998 |
NED
5 - 1
PAR
72%
19%
10%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1998 |
CZE
1 - 0
PAR
55%
22%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
JPN
1 - 1
PAR
46%
26%
28%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1998 |
BGR
2 - 0
ALG
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
BGR
2 - 1
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1998 |
MKD
1 - 0
BGR
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1998 |
ARG
2 - 0
BGR
64%
21%
14%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
RUS
4 - 2
BGR
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |