Paraguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
70.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
URU
0 - 0
PAR
75%
17%
9%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
CRC
2 - 1
PAR
42%
27%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 4
BRA
6%
14%
80%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
PAR
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
PAR
42%
28%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
ECU
75%
16%
9%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
URU
0 - 0
BRA
23%
22%
55%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 4
BRA
6%
14%
80%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
CRC
86%
11%
4%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |