Paraguay vs Brazil analysis

Paraguay Brazil
90 ELO 100
-9.4% Tilt -6.2%
222º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
13%
Paraguay
21.4%
Draw
65.6%
Brazil

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
Paraguay
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
65.6%
Win probability
Brazil
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paraguay
-3%
-6%
Brazil

ELO progression

Paraguay
Brazil
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paraguay
Paraguay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2000
CHL
Chile
3 - 1
Paraguay
PRY
56%
23%
21%
90 89 1 0
21 Jun. 2000
PRY
Paraguay
1 - 0
Costa Rica
CRI
59%
23%
17%
89 85 4 +1
15 Jun. 2000
AUS
Australia
2 - 1
Paraguay
PRY
37%
29%
33%
90 88 2 -1
12 Jun. 2000
AUS
Australia
0 - 0
Paraguay
PRY
38%
29%
34%
90 88 2 0
09 Jun. 2000
AUS
Australia
0 - 0
Paraguay
PRY
37%
29%
34%
90 88 2 0

Matches

Brazil
Brazil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jun. 2000
BRA
Brazil
1 - 1
Uruguay
URY
85%
11%
4%
100 90 10 0
04 Jun. 2000
PER
Peru
0 - 1
Brazil
BRA
10%
20%
70%
100 86 14 0
27 May. 2000
ENG
England
1 - 1
Brazil
BRA
27%
26%
47%
100 98 2 0
23 May. 2000
WLS
Wales
0 - 3
Brazil
BRA
9%
19%
72%
100 85 15 0
26 Apr. 2000
BRA
Brazil
3 - 2
Ecuador
ECU
89%
9%
2%
100 85 15 0
X