Paraguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
57%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1980 |
PAR
2 - 1
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1980 |
BOL
1 - 3
PAR
29%
23%
48%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1980 |
BOL
1 - 1
PAR
29%
23%
48%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1979 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAR
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1979 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAR
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1980 |
BRA
1 - 0
URU
84%
13%
4%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1980 |
BRA
1 - 1
POL
73%
18%
9%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1980 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
84%
13%
4%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1980 |
BRA
1 - 2
SUN
67%
21%
12%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1980 |
BRA
2 - 0
MEX
81%
14%
5%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |