Paraguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
56.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
PAR
1 - 1
COL
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1977 |
COL
0 - 1
PAR
36%
25%
40%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
ECU
2 - 1
PAR
33%
24%
43%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1977 |
BOL
2 - 2
PAR
36%
25%
40%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
BOL
0 - 1
PAR
37%
24%
39%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1977 |
BRA
6 - 0
COL
84%
13%
4%
|
93 | 64 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
COL
0 - 0
BRA
14%
23%
63%
|
93 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
BRA
1 - 0
BGR
79%
15%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1976 |
BRA
2 - 0
SUN
69%
21%
11%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1976 |
SUN
2 - 0
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |