Paraguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
39.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
85%
10%
6%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 2
BRA
16%
20%
64%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1963 |
PAR
5 - 1
BOL
62%
18%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
PAR
3 - 0
BOL
60%
18%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1962 |
BOL
3 - 2
PAR
48%
20%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1963 |
BRA
5 - 1
COL
90%
7%
3%
|
91 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
BRA
1 - 0
PER
87%
9%
5%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 2
BRA
16%
20%
64%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1962 |
BRA
3 - 1
CSK
82%
11%
7%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1962 |
BRA
4 - 2
CHI
86%
9%
5%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | +1 |