Paraguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
41.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
CHI
2 - 0
PAR
71%
15%
14%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
64%
18%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1956 |
ARG
1 - 0
PAR
87%
9%
5%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
86%
9%
5%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1956 |
URU
4 - 2
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1956 |
ENG
4 - 2
BRA
69%
16%
15%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1956 |
TUR
0 - 1
BRA
37%
23%
41%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1956 |
ITA
3 - 0
BRA
60%
19%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1956 |
CSK
0 - 0
BRA
43%
22%
36%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
AUT
2 - 3
BRA
53%
20%
27%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |