Paraguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
40.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
CHI
1 - 3
PAR
57%
20%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
PAR
4 - 0
CHI
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1953 |
PAR
3 - 2
BRA
33%
22%
45%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1953 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRA
32%
22%
46%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
GTM
1 - 0
PAR
48%
20%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
CHI
0 - 2
BRA
35%
22%
44%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1953 |
PAR
3 - 2
BRA
33%
22%
45%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1953 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRA
32%
22%
46%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1953 |
BRA
3 - 2
CHI
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
PER
1 - 0
BRA
37%
22%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |