Paraguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
39.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
7 - 0
BOL
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
4 - 2
CHI
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
URU
2 - 1
PAR
63%
18%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
3 - 1
PER
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
1 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
5 - 1
URU
65%
17%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
7 - 1
PER
75%
14%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
5 - 0
COL
81%
11%
8%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
78%
13%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
10 - 1
BOL
86%
9%
5%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |