Paraguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1925 |
BRA
5 - 2
PAR
63%
19%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1925 |
ARG
2 - 0
PAR
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1925 |
PAR
0 - 0
URU
40%
23%
36%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1925 |
PAR
0 - 1
URU
41%
23%
36%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1925 |
PAR
1 - 0
URU
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1925 |
ARG
4 - 1
BRA
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1925 |
BRA
5 - 2
PAR
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1923 |
ARG
2 - 0
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1923 |
ARG
0 - 2
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1923 |
URU
2 - 1
BRA
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |