Paraguay vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
19%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1965 |
URU
4 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
PAR
2 - 1
URU
45%
22%
33%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1965 |
PER
0 - 1
PAR
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1965 |
CRC
0 - 0
PAR
70%
16%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1965 |
CRC
1 - 0
PAR
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
BOL
5 - 4
BRA
38%
23%
39%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1963 |
BOL
3 - 2
ARG
45%
23%
32%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
BOL
2 - 0
PAR
56%
20%
25%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1963 |
BOL
3 - 2
PER
52%
21%
27%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
BOL
2 - 1
COL
70%
16%
14%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |