Paraguay vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
8.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1959 |
PAR
2 - 1
CHI
71%
16%
14%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
PAR
3 - 3
YUG
51%
23%
27%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
PAR
3 - 2
SCO
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
FRA
7 - 3
PAR
77%
13%
10%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1958 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
83%
11%
6%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1959 |
ARG
2 - 0
BOL
83%
10%
6%
|
62 | 90 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
URU
7 - 0
BOL
82%
11%
7%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
ARG
4 - 0
BOL
80%
13%
7%
|
63 | 90 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
BOL
2 - 0
ARG
28%
23%
49%
|
61 | 90 | 29 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
BOL
3 - 0
CHI
35%
21%
44%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +2 |