Paraguay vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
9.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
4 - 2
CHI
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
URU
2 - 1
PAR
63%
18%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
3 - 1
PER
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
1 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
3 - 0
COL
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1949 |
PER
3 - 0
BOL
76%
14%
11%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
2 - 0
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 2
URU
25%
20%
55%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
10 - 1
BOL
86%
9%
5%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 2
CHI
36%
22%
42%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |