Paraguay vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
4 - 2
URU
35%
21%
44%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
PER
2 - 2
PAR
63%
18%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
6 - 0
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1946 |
HND
10 - 0
PAR
50%
21%
29%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
PAN
0 - 2
PAR
51%
21%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1947 |
COL
0 - 0
BOL
77%
13%
10%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1947 |
URU
3 - 0
BOL
78%
13%
9%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
7 - 0
BOL
83%
11%
6%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
ECU
2 - 2
BOL
51%
21%
28%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1946 |
CHI
4 - 1
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |