Paraguay vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1946 |
CHI
2 - 1
PAR
54%
21%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
2 - 0
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 1945 |
PAR
1 - 3
ARG
33%
23%
44%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1945 |
PAR
5 - 1
ARG
31%
23%
46%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 1945 |
ARG
5 - 3
PAR
76%
15%
10%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
7 - 1
BOL
81%
12%
7%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1946 |
BRA
3 - 0
BOL
83%
11%
7%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1945 |
BOL
3 - 3
COL
45%
22%
33%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1945 |
URU
2 - 0
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
BOL
0 - 0
ECU
67%
17%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |