Paraguay vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1986 |
MEX
1 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 0
IRQ
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
KSA
0 - 0
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
BHR
1 - 2
PAR
6%
18%
76%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
QAT
0 - 3
PAR
12%
21%
67%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
IRQ
1 - 2
BEL
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 2
MEX
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 3
YUG
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1986 |
BEL
2 - 0
BGR
67%
21%
12%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1986 |
ESP
3 - 0
BEL
62%
24%
15%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |