Paraguay vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1930 |
USA
3 - 0
PAR
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1929 |
PAR
5 - 0
PER
52%
22%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 1929 |
ARG
4 - 1
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1929 |
URU
0 - 3
PAR
72%
16%
12%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 1928 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
32%
24%
45%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1930 |
USA
3 - 0
BEL
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
BEL
2 - 1
POR
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
BEL
1 - 2
FRA
74%
14%
12%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
BEL
3 - 1
NED
51%
21%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1930 |
BEL
1 - 3
NED
53%
21%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |