Paraguay vs Argentina analysis

Paraguay Argentina
76 ELO 88
-5.5% Tilt 7.3%
13861º General ELO ranking 13859º
19º Country ELO ranking 95º
ELO win probability
30.2%
Paraguay
24.6%
Draw
45.2%
Argentina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
Paraguay
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.2%
Win probability
Argentina
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paraguay
+2%
+3%
Argentina

ELO progression

Paraguay
Argentina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paraguay
Paraguay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Aug. 1965
ARG
Argentina
3 - 0
Paraguay
PAR
75%
15%
10%
76 88 12 0
25 Jul. 1965
PAR
Paraguay
2 - 0
Bolivia
BOL
63%
18%
19%
76 67 9 0
01 May. 1965
URU
Uruguay
4 - 0
Paraguay
PAR
58%
21%
21%
76 81 5 0
25 Apr. 1965
PAR
Paraguay
2 - 1
Uruguay
URU
45%
22%
33%
76 82 6 0
03 Apr. 1965
PER
Peru
0 - 1
Paraguay
PAR
57%
20%
23%
75 76 1 +1

Matches

Argentina
Argentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Aug. 1965
ARG
Argentina
3 - 0
Paraguay
PAR
75%
15%
10%
88 76 12 0
21 Jul. 1965
CHI
Chile
1 - 1
Argentina
ARG
33%
25%
43%
89 78 11 -1
14 Jul. 1965
ARG
Argentina
1 - 0
Chile
CHI
75%
15%
10%
88 78 10 +1
09 Jun. 1965
BRA
Brazil
0 - 0
Argentina
ARG
65%
18%
16%
88 89 1 0
03 Jun. 1965
FRA
France
0 - 0
Argentina
ARG
35%
24%
42%
89 77 12 -1