Paraguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
51%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 1
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
4 - 1
PER
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
BOL
2 - 0
PAR
56%
20%
25%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
3 - 2
COL
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 0
BRA
38%
23%
40%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1963 |
BRA
5 - 2
ARG
64%
19%
17%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1963 |
BRA
2 - 3
ARG
66%
18%
16%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 1
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1963 |
BOL
3 - 2
ARG
45%
23%
32%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
ARG
3 - 0
BRA
54%
21%
25%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |